Santa Cruz County vs. Arizona
Comparative Trends Analysis:
Population Growth and Change, 1969-2017
Introduction
Santa Cruz County:
2017 Population = 46,212
2017 Percent of State = 0.7%
Arizona:
2017 Population = 7,016,270
2017 Percent of State = 2.2%
Attracting and retaining people to live, work, raise a family, and retire underlies the economic vitality of any region. Population growth is both a cause--and a consequence--of economic growth. Patterns of population growth and change reflect differences among regions to attract and retain people both as producers and consumers in their economy.
The following graphs offer a broad overview of trends in the pattern of population growth and change of Santa Cruz County with comparisons to Arizona and the nation at large. This analysis features alternative approaches toward discussing, diagnosing and comparing Santa Cruz County vs. Arizona's population growth over 1969-2017. The data used are those compiled by the Regional Income and Product Divisions of the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce.
Population, 1969-2017
Population, 1969-2017
Figure 1.
Figure 1 traces Santa Cruz County's annual population for the period 1969-2017 to illustrate population patterns over time. During this 49-year period, Santa Cruz County's population rose from 13,700 in 1969 to 46,212 in 2017, for a net gain of 32,512, or 237.3%.
NOTE: The county and state population totals reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) are from the Bureau of Census midyear (July 1) estimates. These estimates may differ from those prepared independently in some states by various agencies and/or universities.
Population, 1969-2017
Population, 1969-2017
Figure 2.
Figure 2 traces Arizona's annual population for the period 1969-2017 to illustrate population patterns over time. During this 49-year period, Arizona's population rose from 1,737,000 in 1969 to 7,016,270 in 2017, for a net gain of 5,279,270, or 303.9%.
NOTE: The county and state population totals reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) are from the Bureau of Census midyear (July 1) estimates. These estimates may differ from those prepared independently in some states by various agencies and/or universities.
Population Indices (1969=100): 1969-2017
Population Indices (1969=100): 1969-2017
Figure 3.
Figure 3 shows Santa Cruz County's population growth in a broader context by offering direct comparisons across time with Arizona, the United States. The growth indices shown here express each region's population in 1969 as a base figure of 100, and the populations in later years as a percentage of the 1969 base figure. This method allows for more direct comparison of differences in population growth between regions that may differ vastly in size.
Santa Cruz County's overall population growth was 237.3% over 1969-2017 trailed Arizona's increase of 303.9%, and topped the United States' increase of 61.8%.
Population as a Percent of the Arizona Total: 1969-2017
Population as a Percent of the Arizona Total: 1969-2017
Figure 4.
Another interesting and insightful way of contrasting the population growth of Santa Cruz County is to trace its individual percentage contributions to Arizona's statewide population over time, as shown in Figure 4. A rising share means a region's population grew faster, or declined less, than Arizona's population, while a declining share shows it grew more slowly.
In 1969, Santa Cruz County's population comprised 0.79% of Arizona's population, while in 2017 it equated to 0.66% thereby yielding a -0.13% share-shift.
   
 
Population Share-Shift
2017 vs. 1969
 
Share-
Shift*
 
2017
vs.
1969
-0.13%
=
0.66%
-
0.79%
 
   
Santa Cruz County Population:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2017
Santa Cruz County Population:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2017
Figure 5.
Figure 5 highlights the short-run pattern of Santa Cruz County's population growth by tracking the year-to-year percent change over 1970-2017. The average annual percent change for the entire 48-year period is also traced on this chart to provide a benchmark for gauging periods of relative high--and relative low--growth against the backdrop of the long-term average.
On average, Santa Cruz County's population grew at an annual rate of 2.59% over 1970-2017. The county recorded its highest growth in 1989 (7.13%) and recorded its lowest growth in 1975 (-1.50%). In 2017, Santa Cruz County's population grew by 0.30%
Santa Cruz County Population:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2017
Santa Cruz County Population:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2017
Figure 6.
Over the past four decades some counties have experienced extreme swings in growth, and often such swings have tended to coincide with the decades themselves. Figure 6 again traces the annual percent change in Santa Cruz County's population since 1970, but this time they are displayed with average growth rates for the decade of the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, and 2010-2017.
During the 1970s, Santa Cruz County's annual population growth rate averaged 3.70%. It averaged 3.91% during the 1980s, 2.74% throughout the 1990s, 2.23% in the 2000s, and -0.21% thus far this decade (2010 to 2017).
Population Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Population Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Figure 7.
Figure 7 compares the decade average growth rates for Santa Cruz County noted in the previous graph with the corresponding decade averages for Arizona and the nation. As the chart reveals, Santa Cruz County's average annual population growth trailed Arizona's average in the 1970s (3.70% vs. 4.28%), registered above Arizona's average during the 1980s (3.91% vs. 3.22%), recorded under Arizona's average in the 1990s (2.74% vs. 3.33%), posted below Arizona's average throughout the 2000s (2.23% vs. 2.36%), and lagged Arizona's average over the 8 year period of the last decade, 2010-2017 (-0.21% vs. 1.27%).
Finally, relative to nationwide population growth trends, Santa Cruz County led the nation during the 1970s (3.70% vs. 1.10%), led the nation in the 1980s (3.91% vs. 0.95%), topped the nation over the 1990s (2.74% vs. 1.23%), led the nation throughout the 2000s (2.23% vs. 0.95%), and posted below the nation over 2010-2017 (-0.21% vs. 0.75%).
   
 
Population Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change
 
 
 
2.59
3.70
3.91
2.74
2.23
-0.21
0.30
 
2.96
4.28
3.22
3.33
2.36
1.27
1.56
 
1.01
1.10
0.95
1.23
0.95
0.75
0.72
 
   

Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Santa Cruz County:
Population, 1969-2017
 
1969
 
13,700
100.0
N
0.79
1970
 
14,110
103.0
2.99
0.79
1971
 
14,799
108.0
4.88
0.78
1972
 
15,689
114.5
6.01
0.78
1973
 
16,505
120.5
5.20
0.78
1974
 
17,355
126.7
5.15
0.78
1975
 
17,094
124.8
-1.50
0.75
1976
 
17,895
130.6
4.69
0.76
1977
 
18,265
133.3
2.07
0.75
1978
 
18,605
135.8
1.86
0.74
1979
 
19,657
143.5
5.65
0.74
1980
 
20,505
149.7
4.31
0.75
1981
 
20,673
150.9
0.82
0.74
1982
 
21,689
158.3
4.91
0.75
1983
 
21,841
159.4
0.70
0.74
1984
 
22,791
166.4
4.35
0.74
1985
 
23,534
171.8
3.26
0.74
1986
 
24,040
175.5
2.15
0.73
1987
 
25,627
187.1
6.60
0.75
1988
 
26,866
196.1
4.83
0.76
1989
 
28,781
210.1
7.13
0.79
1990
 
29,854
217.9
3.73
0.81
1991
 
30,918
225.7
3.56
0.82
1992
 
32,006
233.6
3.52
0.82
1993
 
33,245
242.7
3.87
0.82
1994
 
34,337
250.6
3.28
0.81
1995
 
35,007
255.5
1.95
0.79
1996
 
35,205
257.0
0.57
0.77
1997
 
36,074
263.3
2.47
0.76
1998
 
36,809
268.7
2.04
0.75
1999
 
37,713
275.3
2.46
0.75
2000
 
38,589
281.7
2.32
0.75
2001
 
39,288
286.8
1.81
0.75
2002
 
40,009
292.0
1.84
0.74
2003
 
40,625
296.5
1.54
0.74
2004
 
41,623
303.8
2.46
0.74
2005
 
42,961
313.6
3.21
0.74
2006
 
44,298
323.3
3.11
0.73
2007
 
45,338
330.9
2.35
0.74
2008
 
46,144
336.8
1.78
0.73
2009
 
47,011
343.1
1.88
0.74
2010
 
47,425
346.2
0.88
0.74
2011
 
47,615
347.6
0.40
0.74
2012
 
47,292
345.2
-0.68
0.72
2013
 
46,845
341.9
-0.95
0.71
2014
 
46,468
339.2
-0.80
0.69
2015
 
46,191
337.2
-0.60
0.68
2016
 
46,075
336.3
-0.25
0.67
2017
 
46,212
337.3
0.30
0.66
Source: Calculations by the Arizona Regional Economic Analysis Project (AZ-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2018
REAP_PI_CA1400_100_PSN
 
   

Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Arizona:
Population, 1969-2017
 
1969
 
1,737,000
100.0
N
0.86
1970
 
1,794,912
103.3
3.33
0.88
1971
 
1,896,108
109.2
5.64
0.92
1972
 
2,008,847
115.7
5.95
0.96
1973
 
2,125,281
122.4
5.80
1.01
1974
 
2,224,342
128.1
4.66
1.04
1975
 
2,286,348
131.6
2.79
1.06
1976
 
2,347,976
135.2
2.70
1.08
1977
 
2,427,310
139.7
3.38
1.10
1978
 
2,517,852
145.0
3.73
1.13
1979
 
2,638,582
151.9
4.79
1.17
1980
 
2,737,774
157.6
3.76
1.20
1981
 
2,810,108
161.8
2.64
1.22
1982
 
2,889,860
166.4
2.84
1.25
1983
 
2,968,924
170.9
2.74
1.27
1984
 
3,067,134
176.6
3.31
1.30
1985
 
3,183,539
183.3
3.80
1.34
1986
 
3,308,261
190.5
3.92
1.38
1987
 
3,437,103
197.9
3.89
1.42
1988
 
3,535,183
203.5
2.85
1.45
1989
 
3,622,184
208.5
2.46
1.47
1990
 
3,684,097
212.1
1.71
1.48
1991
 
3,788,576
218.1
2.84
1.50
1992
 
3,915,740
225.4
3.36
1.53
1993
 
4,065,440
234.0
3.82
1.56
1994
 
4,245,089
244.4
4.42
1.61
1995
 
4,432,499
255.2
4.41
1.66
1996
 
4,586,940
264.1
3.48
1.70
1997
 
4,736,990
272.7
3.27
1.74
1998
 
4,883,342
281.1
3.09
1.77
1999
 
5,023,823
289.2
2.88
1.80
2000
 
5,160,586
297.1
2.72
1.83
2001
 
5,273,477
303.6
2.19
1.85
2002
 
5,396,255
310.7
2.33
1.88
2003
 
5,510,364
317.2
2.11
1.90
2004
 
5,652,404
325.4
2.58
1.93
2005
 
5,839,077
336.2
3.30
1.98
2006
 
6,029,141
347.1
3.26
2.02
2007
 
6,167,681
355.1
2.30
2.05
2008
 
6,280,362
361.6
1.83
2.07
2009
 
6,343,154
365.2
1.00
2.07
2010
 
6,407,002
368.9
1.01
2.07
2011
 
6,465,488
372.2
0.91
2.07
2012
 
6,544,211
376.8
1.22
2.08
2013
 
6,616,124
380.9
1.10
2.09
2014
 
6,706,435
386.1
1.37
2.10
2015
 
6,802,262
391.6
1.43
2.12
2016
 
6,908,642
397.7
1.56
2.14
2017
 
7,016,270
403.9
1.56
2.15
Source: Calculations by the Arizona Regional Economic Analysis Project (AZ-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2018
REAP_PI_CA1400_100_PSN
 
   

Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
United States:
Population, 1969-2017
 
1969
 
201,298,000
100.0
N
1970
 
203,798,722
101.2
1.24
1971
 
206,817,509
102.7
1.48
1972
 
209,274,882
104.0
1.19
1973
 
211,349,205
105.0
0.99
1974
 
213,333,635
106.0
0.94
1975
 
215,456,585
107.0
1.00
1976
 
217,553,859
108.1
0.97
1977
 
219,760,875
109.2
1.01
1978
 
222,098,244
110.3
1.06
1979
 
224,568,579
111.6
1.11
1980
 
227,224,719
112.9
1.18
1981
 
229,465,744
114.0
0.99
1982
 
231,664,432
115.1
0.96
1983
 
233,792,014
116.1
0.92
1984
 
235,824,907
117.2
0.87
1985
 
237,923,734
118.2
0.89
1986
 
240,132,831
119.3
0.93
1987
 
242,288,936
120.4
0.90
1988
 
244,499,004
121.5
0.91
1989
 
246,819,222
122.6
0.95
1990
 
249,622,814
124.0
1.14
1991
 
252,980,941
125.7
1.35
1992
 
256,514,224
127.4
1.40
1993
 
259,918,588
129.1
1.33
1994
 
263,125,821
130.7
1.23
1995
 
266,278,393
132.3
1.20
1996
 
269,394,284
133.8
1.17
1997
 
272,646,925
135.4
1.21
1998
 
275,854,104
137.0
1.18
1999
 
279,040,168
138.6
1.15
2000
 
282,162,411
140.2
1.12
2001
 
284,968,955
141.6
0.99
2002
 
287,625,193
142.9
0.93
2003
 
290,107,933
144.1
0.86
2004
 
292,805,298
145.5
0.93
2005
 
295,516,599
146.8
0.93
2006
 
298,379,912
148.2
0.97
2007
 
301,231,207
149.6
0.96
2008
 
304,093,966
151.1
0.95
2009
 
306,771,529
152.4
0.88
2010
 
309,338,421
153.7
0.84
2011
 
311,644,280
154.8
0.75
2012
 
313,993,272
156.0
0.75
2013
 
316,234,505
157.1
0.71
2014
 
318,622,525
158.3
0.76
2015
 
321,039,839
159.5
0.76
2016
 
323,405,935
160.7
0.74
2017
 
325,719,178
161.8
0.72
Source: Calculations by the Arizona Regional Economic Analysis Project (AZ-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2018
REAP_PI_CA1400_100_PN
 
   
Copyright © 2019. Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Analysis Project (PNREAP). All Rights Reserved.

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